
[Archive March 19, 2006]
Opening Day, April 3rd, will soon be upon us. Opening Day at Fenway Park is April 11th. As I did last year, I will make my predictions for the 2006 MLB season. Sure, I came up a bit short in 2005, but 2006 will be different. Here they are…
AMERICAN LEAGUE
East: Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox’s pitching staff will be the big “question mark” for the 2006 season. Curt Schilling (R), Josh Beckett (R), David Wells (L), Tim Wakefield (R), and Matt Clement (R) may have big seasons. However, Boston still needs some quality lefties. Their offense with Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz should continue to produce. A new infield is in place with Alex Gonzalez at shortstop and Mike Lowell at 3B. So, their defense should improve from last year as well.
The New York Yankees will be in the Wild Card chase. I suppose that Alex Rodriquez (3B) and Garry Sheffield (RF) will have big seasons. However, their starting pitching will continue to be a weak spot. The Toronto Blue Jays have some good pitching with Roy Halladay (R), A.J. Burnett (R), Ted Lilly (L) and B.J. Ryan (L) in the bullpen. They should be in Wild Card contention.
Central: Chicago White Sox
Okay, so last year I predicted that Chicago’s “small ball experiment” would fail. But who could have predicted that they would have such great pitching? Their starting rotation (Mark Buehrle (L), Jose Contreras (R), Freddy Garcia (R)) and bullpen with Bobby Jenks (R) will return for another run. The offense will be “the factor” this season. But with the addition of Jim Thome at DH you gotta’ like their chances.
The Detroit Tigers should continue to improve if they stay healthy. I would not be surprised if they earn the Wild Card this season with manager Jim Leyland at the helm. The Cleveland Indians also look pretty good with lefty pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Cliff Lee. They will certainly give the White Sox a good run.
West: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
All around the Angels have a solid team even with the loss of Bengie Molina. Their infield is solid with Orlando Cabrera (SS) and Adam Kennedy (2B). OFs Vladmir Guerrero (.317 32 108) and Garret Anderson (.283 17 96) should have big years. In addition, Darrin Erstad (.273 7 66) should rebound from a disappointing 2005 season. Cy Young winner Bartolo Colon (R) will have another outstanding year. Their staff is in need of quality left-handed pitching.
The Oakland A’s future does not look bright. They may be a season away from contention once again. I suppose these “Moneyballers” need to rebuild like every other small-market team. The Seattle Mariners will be back in contention from a terrible 2005. Their outfield with Raul Ibanez (LF), Jeremy Reed (CF) and Ichiro Suzuki (RF) is solid. The addition of pitcher Jarrod Washburn (L) is a bonus.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
East: New York Mets
The New York Mets are my out-on-a-limb™ pick for this season. The Atlanta Braves’ dominance of this division will come to an end this year. With Pedro (R) and Glavine (L) on the mound and Billy Wagner (L) in the pen the Mets’ pitching should stay consistent but it won’t be great; just good enough. The Mets will shine both in the field and at the plate with Jose Reyes (SS), David Wright (3B), Paul Lo Duca (C), Carlos Delgado (1B) and company.
The Philadelphia Phillies could possibly be the NL Wild Card winner this season. Jimmy Rollins (SS), Bobby Abreu (RF) and most of the rest of the Philly team are not recognizable names … but wait until September! The Washington Nationals with a .500 record last season should improve and be in Wild Card contention if their pitching holds up. Closer Chad Cordero (2-4 47 saves) will keep hope alive in the late innings for the Nationals.
Central: St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is a “no brainer” and a safe bet. They had 100 wins last year and 105 in 2004. They will have solid pitching with Mark Mulder (L) and Cy Young winner Chris Carpenter (R) at the top of the rotation. Their offense will continue to be among the best of the National League led by M.V.P. Albert Pujols (1B). It will be interesting to see how Rick Ankiel does in the outfield and if he can remain on the major league squad.
The Chicago Cubs’ pitching is either too old or too injury prone for a successful season. I do expect Juan Pierre (OF) to have an all-star season. He may be in the M.V.P. race as well. (You read it here first!)
West: Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers will surprise many. Nomar Garciaparra (1B) should return to top form because he seems to be motivated to “prove himself.” They have a team that could easily go from “okay” to “pretty good” if all stay healthy and if they can get some middle-relief support. In the NL West, a weak division, they are just as probable as anyone else to win.
The San Diego Padres looked promising last year but they failed to “improve” in the offseason. Nevertheless, they may still be in contention for a division win but certainly not for a Wild Card spot. The San Francisco Giants have a solid starting rotation with Matt Morris (R) and Jason Schmidt (R). However, besides Barry Bonds (LF), their offense is limited. I don’t expect them to score many runs to support their pitching.
Photo: Don Zimmer and Carlton Fisk ©1978 Richard Raphael